Is Joel Embiid front-runner for new NBA MVP?

Do not count MVPs before hatching. Her third straight MVP for Nikolajokic seemed inevitable in her first three quarters of the season. Jokic’s triple-double his average, improved offensive efficiency, advanced stats, Denver’s No. 1 In the Western Conference, everyone seemed to be tipping the scales in favor of Jokic winning the award.

Trench warfare in the 2023 MVP discourse has reached critical mass in recent weeks. Bleacher Report analyst Andy Bailey said: Philly fan. Kendrick Perkins grabbed the straw by consistently bashing Jokic, first take Together with JJ Reddick, we’ve taken MVP dialogue to Ghost Pepper level on the Scoville scale.

Who is your MVP favorite right now?

However, on Friday, MVP ladder We predicted a change in mood by naming Joel Embiid as the new frontrunner. Historical precedent shows that voters are not far behind. This latest development in the race recalls his year earlier, when Jokic surged ahead of Embiid after leading the vote in his one of ESPN’s final MVP straw votes on March 29. increase. FebruaryInexplicably, Embiid also had Overwhelm Jokic In the month and a half between straw polls, outrage grew among Embiid supporters who believed Jokic’s first two MVPs had been stolen.

“What else do I have to do to win, and for me… at this point, whatever,” Embiid wondered aloud last year after leading the league in scoring.

But this time, what Embiid has done in the first 70 games of the season, especially in the last 30 days, is working. It turns out that Embiid had to pass his current MVP by one metric. MVP voting is not an exact science, but player efficiency rankings have always been considered the most reliable benchmark.

For most of the season, Jokic’s MVP debate hinged on the Nuggets’ record and a wealth of analysis in his favor. He still leads in true shooting percentage, VORP, boxes plus/minus, defensive plus/minus, wins. He leads in shares, offensive plus/minus, but take them with a grain of salt. Defensive metrics with Jokic leading by a large margin over Embiid and Field are unreliable. However, PER is king.

How to win an NBA MVP

Here are the final 10 leaders in PER and where they participated in the final MVP voting tally at the end of each season.

  • 2022: Nikola Jokic (1st place)
  • 2021: Nikola Jokic (1st place)
  • 2020: Giannis Antetokounmpo (1st place)
  • 2019: Giannis Antetokounmpo (1st place)
  • 2018: James Harden (1st place)
  • 2017: Russell Westbrook (1st place)
  • 2016: Stephen Curry (1st place)
  • 2015: Stephen Curry (1st place)
  • 2014: Kevin Durant (1st place)
  • 2013: LeBron James (1st place)

The MVP trophy should have been named after basketball scholar John Hollinger, who developed the all-in-one PER formula, not Michael Jordan. It’s not surprising that Embiid surpassed Jokic’s already commanding lead in PER.

How has Embiid caught up this past month? By taking his game up a notch while Jokic and the Nuggets have been beaten.

Since March 8, the Nuggets have ranked last in defensive efficiency, and Jokic has failed to stave off five losses in their last six games. from december 1In March, the 76ers amassed the best record in the NBA while competing in more challenging divisions. Recorded and was totally defenseless. Jokic’s numbers were 25/12.8/9.1 for him, but Embiid changed the game on both ends of the floor.

Philadelphia’s eighth straight win helped change the story of the race as Embiid outpaced Antetokounmpo in crunch time and hit a game-sealing triple on the Bucks’ home floor. Alternatively, Embiid could have beaten Ja Morant at the rim in his Feb. 11 game against the Grizzlies where he went 110-105. 23. Embiid after Philadelphia’s 141-121 win over the Pacers got approval Or Rick Carlyle. Eyeball tests, stars, and stats are tailored to Embiid. Pick yourself up and his final 12 games will be a roller coaster ride.

Check out Deadspin’s full coverage of the Philadelphia 76ers. gentleman.

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